ISA World Surfing Games official predictions
- Fun sized swell during the weekend of 29-30
- Bigger and durable SW inflates from 1st to 4th
- Discolored surf, but fun and rippable during the weekend of the 5th to the 6th
- Light wind early in the morning with high tides throughout the week
Cam nearby: El Zonte
Regional forecasts for El Salvador
SATURDAY 29: Funny 4-6 ‘faces all day, although a bit lully. Wind light early, becoming light to moderate on land late in the morning / afternoon
SWELL / SURF: The SW swell over a longer period holds all day with sets in the head going high to slightly above the head. The high tide oscillates during the day.
WIND: Wind E shoreline crossing light / variable to weak early in the morning with a light southerly wind developing mid to late morning. In the afternoon, wind of 5 to 9 knots for a few bumps. The evening can see a cleansing.
SUNDAY 30th: Hold 4-6 ‘faces all day, although a bit lully. Light wind at sea early, light to moderate tendency on land later AM / PM
SWELL / SURF: The SW swell lasts all day with surfs similar in size to Saturday. The high tide oscillates throughout the day.
WIND: Weak trends early in the morning at sea on the S coast from mid to late morning and throughout the afternoon for a few moguls. Cleaning possible in the evening.
MONDAY 31: Relaxation of 4-5 ‘AM faces, reconstruction 4-6’ + late faces. Light wind at sea early, light to moderate tendency on land later AM / PM
SWELL / SURF: Old SW swell for the morning hours. A new long period southwest swell gradually builds up throughout the afternoon to push the waves up a little. Inconsistent on the front of the swell, but a certain power in the decorations when they appear.
WIND: Weak trends early in the morning at sea on the S coast from mid to late morning and throughout the afternoon for a few moguls.
TUESDAY 1st: Build 5-7 ‘faces that become 6-8’ faces at the end of the day. Light wind at sea early, light to moderate tendency on land later AM / PM
SWELL / SURF: Long period SW swell accumulates throughout the day with series of a few meters above the head at the end of the day.
WIND: Weak trends at sea early in the morning on the S coast mid to late morning and south to southwest in the afternoon for some moguls.
WEDNESDAY 2: 6-8 ‘occ. 10 ‘faces through the day. Light wind at sea early, light to moderate tendency on land later AM / PM
SWELL / SURF: Long period SW swell continues with overhead surf.
WIND: Weak trends early in the morning off the S coast mid to late morning and south to southwest in the afternoon for light swells.
Sunzal Spot Forecast and La Bocana Spot Forecast
Swell / surf outlook
We are staying on track to witness a great week of surfing with several overlapping swells. The biggest waves will be in the middle of next week, when we expect some good surf waves, although even the smallest days should see at least some head-up waves.
Our first SW swell (230-220) is building now, should peak on Saturday and slowly ease on Sunday. This is from a recent storm near New Zealand which was rather compact but took a favorable course towards El Salvador and was quite strong (the sea peak verified by satellite was in the range of 30 to 35 feet ). The long travel distance will limit the size and consistency somewhat, but a lully surf in the high shoulder to slightly above the head (4-6ft faces) is expected this weekend for La Bocana and Sunzal .
We noted in our last forecast that there was a chance for a shorter swell period from a nearby tropical feature later in the weekend. The model’s latest recommendations aren’t as bullish on this scenario – we can see something small develop at the end of the weekend, but it really doesn’t seem like much at this point.
The source of our next swell has approached over the past 24 hours in the central South Pacific and is expected to be a storm of long duration. It will be a bigger, stronger, and closer storm than the New Zealand storm discussed above and we expect larger and more consistent waves to flow from it. It should also be a protracted event with multiple pulses, although it will likely look like a long swell.
So far, parts of the storm have been very impressive, with the head of the fetch producing an area of moderate wind size of 45 to 50 kt and a wider area of wind in the range of 25 to 30 kt +. In addition, a satellite pass measured seas of the order of 40 ‘+, which is way above the model guidelines. All positive signs that we have a good sized swell on the way.
We should start to see the very long-lived forerunners slowly building on Monday the 31st, mingling with the remnants of the weekend swells. More noticeable construction is expected to occur through Tuesday with a surf peak from Tuesday night to Wednesday / Thursday before easing on Friday. During the peak swell we should see some surf between overhead and well above the head, with larger sets able to double overhead. At this size Sunzal should offer better surf quality, with La Bocana probably reaching its peak. Weekend 5-6 should see the waves fade – always a good chance to see waves in the head held high at the beach on Saturday 5th and off the shoulder on Sunday 6. Stay tuned, we’ll continue to refine the details over the next few days as we see the storm come to an end.
It looks like we’ll be in a pretty typical wind pattern for most / all of the event. This would mean a light and generally favorable wind at the start. mornings tend to land from mid to late morning until afternoon for some bump. Some evenings may see a cleaning. See above for day to day details.
Next update: Saturday evening, May 29